Amiens SC vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
LYO
3 - 1
AMI
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
AMI
49%
28%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 0
NÎM
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
STL
1 - 0
AMI
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
AUX
2 - 0
LYO
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LHA
0 - 0
AUX
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
AUX
0 - 0
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1999 |
AUX
1 - 0
PSG
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
SED
1 - 1
AUX
38%
26%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |