Amiens SC vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
13º
10º
24
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
AMI
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ROD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
CLE
30%
29%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ANN
3 - 0
AMI
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCM
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
AJA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRE
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |