Amiens SC II vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
13º
11º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
AMI
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
CHA
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 2
AMI
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
AMI
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 1
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LON
1 - 3
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
LON
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LON
2 - 4
USM
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |