Amiens AC vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.6%
74.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.2%
0-2
19.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
AAC
57%
25%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AAC
2 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
AAC
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
AAC
47%
27%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AAC
0 - 0
PSG
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 2
LIL
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |