Amiens AC vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
13º
12º
37
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
AAC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 3
FEI
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AAC
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
AAC
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AAC
0 - 1
VIM
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
IRI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ESL
0 - 1
LIL
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |