Amiens AC vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
13º
12º
36
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
AAC
59%
23%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AAC
2 - 0
IRI
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEN
5 - 1
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
4 - 0
ESL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 1
AAC
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
USM
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
3 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
LEN
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ESL
0 - 2
COM
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |