OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Amicale vs Ba FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amicale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAF
1 - 2
AMI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NAD
0 - 6
AMI
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
DRA
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
6 - 0
YAT
54%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Ba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAF
1 - 2
AMI
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAD
1 - 2
BAF
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAF
1 - 1
HEK
66%
18%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
BAF
4 - 0
TAF
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 2
BAF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |