OFC Champions Final
Global 2-3
Amicale vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
79.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amicale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 0
BAF
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAF
1 - 2
AMI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NAD
0 - 6
AMI
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
DRA
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 1
AUC
9%
14%
77%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
PIR
93%
5%
2%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 3
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAD
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |