OFC Champions Final
Global 1-6
Amicale vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amicale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 0
AMI
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AMI
5 - 1
LAU
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AMI
3 - 3
HEK
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AMI
2 - 0
KOL
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAU
1 - 0
AMI
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 1
TEA
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
TEF
86%
10%
5%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
0 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |