Américo Tesorieri vs San Lorenzo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
AMT
81%
14%
6%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
AMT
2 - 1
AND
17%
21%
63%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
3 - 0
AMT
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AMT
0 - 1
UNI
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AMT
0 - 1
CSE
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
3 - 1
GIM
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 1
SLO
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JUU
0 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
3 - 1
AND
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 0
MAI
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |