Américo Tesorieri vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 2
AMT
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
AMT
0 - 3
SLO
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SJO
5 - 2
AMT
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
VSR
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AND
2 - 1
AMT
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
4 - 2
VSR
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AND
1 - 0
LIB
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
TEX
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |