Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-2
Americano vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOA
4 - 1
AME
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
FRI
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 0
FFL
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 2
PPE
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 3
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
PPE
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |