Americano vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 1
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 2
AME
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RES
1 - 2
OLA
41%
24%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
BOA
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 2
OLA
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |