Americano vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 4
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 2
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 4
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |