Americano vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
GOY
1 - 1
AME
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
GOY
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
AUD
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
NOV
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
MIR
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |