Americano vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
AME
63%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
OLA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
VOL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | -1 |