Americano vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
AME
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
ADC
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ADC
1 - 0
AME
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
FRI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
GOY
1 - 2
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |