Americano vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 1
AME
33%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
VOL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
AME
0 - 4
FLU
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
COT
0 - 0
LON
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LON
1 - 3
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CCR
0 - 3
LON
6%
17%
77%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CIA
0 - 0
LON
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |