Americano vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 4
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |