Americano vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
BOA
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRI
5 - 2
BOA
23%
22%
55%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
FRI
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
DUQ
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
FRI
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |