Americano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
69%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RES
1 - 0
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
GOY
1 - 1
AME
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
VOL
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
ATP
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 0
FLU
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |