Americano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
68%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 1
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 2
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 2
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 2
BOA
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | -1 |