Americano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
AME
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
TIG
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 2
FLU
9%
17%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
RES
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
MAD
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
3 - 1
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |