Americano vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
VOL
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
AME
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 5
OLA
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
2 - 0
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VOL
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
DUQ
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 4
FLU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |