Americano vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BOA
3 - 0
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
AME
3 - 2
VOL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
DUQ
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DUQ
4 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
4 - 2
DUQ
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |