Americano vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
CEN
2 - 0
AME
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
FLU
2 - 2
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
AME
1 - 0
TAG
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
DES
1 - 2
AME
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
AME
0 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
CRB
1 - 0
DES
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
CON
0 - 0
CRB
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
CRB
1 - 2
GOY
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CEN
2 - 0
CRB
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |