Americano vs Maricá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
OLA
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
CAB
36%
24%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
CMA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
CMA
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |