Americano vs Maricá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
AME
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ADC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
AME
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
PET
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CMA
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
2 - 2
OLA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 0
SAM
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
CMA
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |