Americano vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
FLU
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
BON
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |