Rio Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Americano vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
SAM
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
AME
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CMA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 2
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOY
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RDJ
0 - 1
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
RDJ
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |