Americano vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
BOA
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 5
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
70%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
VOL
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |