Americano vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 2
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |