Americano vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 4
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |