América vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 5
AME
18%
22%
61%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 1
UAT
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 5
AME
18%
22%
61%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 0
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |