América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
MER
0 - 3
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |