América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 2
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
AME
3 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 2
SNL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TIG
3 - 0
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 2
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |