CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 2-1
América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AME
1 - 3
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VER
0 - 1
AME
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
LDA
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |