América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
NEC
0 - 1
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
LEO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
CAZ
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 1
IRA
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
6 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
EST
0 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |