Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 2-2
América vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AME
2 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 2
RMA
12%
17%
72%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JEO
1 - 2
AME
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 1
LEO
48%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
TIG
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TIG
5 - 0
PUM
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 2
TIG
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 2
QRO
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |