América vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 6
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
AME
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
SAO
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
OPE
3 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
STR
1 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
STR
2 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |