América vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 4
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
LDA
1 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 3
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 1
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
3 - 2
SMI
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
SMI
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 3
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |