América vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AME
4 - 1
SNL
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 1
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
AME
0 - 4
FCB
6%
14%
79%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
JEO
0 - 1
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 2
SAM
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 0
SPC
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |