América vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AME
5 - 2
ATS
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
AME
44%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ATS
1 - 1
SNL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 3
MOR
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 0
SNL
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 0
MON
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |