América vs St. Louis City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUA
1 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 0
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STC
3 - 1
POR
13%
18%
69%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
STC
1 - 1
JUA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
STC
2 - 1
DAL
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
1 - 1
STC
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SES
2 - 0
STC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |