América vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
AME
4 - 0
STR
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 6
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
AME
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
SAO
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
QRO
4 - 4
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
QRO
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
QRO
0 - 0
VER
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
QRO
3 - 3
PUM
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |