Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 7-2
América vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
VER
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIG
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 1
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 0
PUM
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |