América vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
AME
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 4
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
8 - 0
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
QRO
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |