América vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
AME
4 - 1
PUE
67%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
AME
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
AME
1 - 2
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AME
2 - 1
TIG
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 2
EST
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
VER
3 - 4
PUM
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |