Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 11-2
América vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 6
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 2
AME
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 3
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NSC
3 - 3
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 6
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 2
AME
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
PUM
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
TIG
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |