América vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
TPM
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 3
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
AME
0 - 3
PUM
57%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
QRO
0 - 0
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |